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Past Insiders and Reported Shareholders - Current Ownership Status unknown - positions may be pre-rollback
Related Party
Occupation
Related Since
Insider Ended
Director Ended
Capacity
Ownership
Bernard Barlin
Deceased
1/1/1989
9/23/2009
9/23/2009
Director
0
Harry G. Barr
Businessperson
1/1/1985
9/19/2007
9/19/2007
Director
256,117
Colin Bird
Engineer
1/1/1996
3/25/2008
3/25/2008
Director
112,500
Joseph Bowes
Accountant
10/19/2009
9/24/2015
CFO
0
John Clemens
Broker
12/30/2010
Placee
20,000
Richard M. Cohen
Broker
8/12/2009
Placee
75,000
Daniel L. G. Faure
Geologist
1/1/2012
10/25/2023
Advisory Board
0
Victor Fern
Businessperson
3/25/2008
4/5/2021
4/5/2021
Director
130,000
Emil Fung
9/19/2007
9/10/2012
9/10/2012
Director
20,864
Nana Lampton
1/1/2012
10/25/2023
Advisory Board
0
Olav Langelaar
Broker
8/12/2009
Placee
40,000
Hubert R. Marleau
Businessperson
1/1/1996
6/24/2013
6/24/2013
Director
0
Ravensden Asset Management Inc.
Fund Manager
9/23/2009
Insider
1,132,352
Michael E. Riley
Accountant
6/2/2011
9/26/2013
9/27/2013
Director
0
Simon Szeto
1/3/2013
10/25/2023
Advisory Board
0
Damian Towns
10/19/2009
Insider
0
Kathleen K. Townsend
Lawyer
1/7/2014
9/1/2021
9/1/2021
Director
425,000
Share positions of current insiders based on last AGM circular, ownership % based on current Issued. Share positions of past insiders and shareholders have not been adjusted for rollbacks or splits.
Active Index Memberships
Membership Start Date:
March 7, 2024
Start Price:
$0.74
KRO Favorites 2024: Features companies designated 2024 KRO Favorites, based on closing price December 29, 2023 or when added during 2024..
A Spec Value Hunter table allows speculators to identify which projects offer poor, fair or good speculative value according to the rational speculation model. The speculative value depends on the project stage, the project's implied value as calculated by the company's fully diluted, stock price and net project interest, and the dream target deemed appropriate for the project. A dream target is what a project would be worth in discounted cash flow terms once in production.
Poor Speculative Value -
Fair Speculative Value -
Good Speculative Value -
Note: narrow arrows indicate IPV is outside the fair value channel but within 25% of the fair value limits
Color Key for Target Outcome Achievability Ranges in millions ranked from most to least achievable
below $25
Should be Private: Artisanal, Placer, Mom & Pop Shop
$25-$50
Tiny Scale: underground mine or quarry - not worth the bother
$50-$100
Small Scale: junior needs to self-develop
$100-$250
Buyout Target: by Lower Tier Producers
$250-$500
Buyout Target: by Mid-Tier Producers
$500-$1,000
Ideal Target for Junior: Buckhorn, Sleeper
$1,000-$2,000
Almost World Class: Ekati, Red Chris, Brucejack, Juanicipio, Stibnite
$2,000-$5,000
World Class: Eskay Creek, Hemlo, Hermosa-Taylor, Oyu Tolgoi, LaRonde, McArthur
$5,000-$10,000
Giants: Escondida, Sullivan, Carlin Trend, Kidd Creek, Orapa, Kamoa-Kakula
above $10,000
Off the Scale District: Wits 1.0, Araxa, Sudbury Basin, Bayan Obo
The target outcome range required for the current implied project value to represent fair speculative value is based on the upper and lower certainty limits associated with the project stage. The color coding is based on the target outcome using the mid-point of the certainty range.
Active Company Projects
Project
Location
Net Interest
Stage
IPV $ MM
Fair Spec Value Required Target Outcome Range
$100
UPV $500
$2000
Target Metals
Deposit Style
West McArthur
Canada - Saskatchewan - Athabasca Basin
83.3% WI
3-Discovery Delineation
$173
$3,463 - $6,926
Uranium
Unconformity style
Cree East
Canada - Saskatchewan - Athabasca Basin
100% WI
2-Target Drilling
$144
$5,769 - $14,423
Uranium
Unconformity style
Key Extension
Canada - Saskatchewan - Athabasca Basin
100% WI
2-Target Drilling
$144
$5,769 - $14,423
Uranium
Unconformity style
Manibridge-Resting-Halfway
Canada - Manitoba - Thompson Belt
100% WI
2-Target Drilling
$144
$5,769 - $14,423
Nickel
Magmatic Segregation
McTavish
Canada - Quebec - Athabasca Basin
20% TC
2-Target Drilling
$721
$28,845 - $72,113
Uranium
Unconformity style
Moon Lake South
Canada - Saskatchewan - Athabasca Basin
25% WI
2-Target Drilling
$577
$23,076 - $57,691
Uranium
Unconformity style
Waterbury East
Canada - Saskatchewan - Athabasca Basin
20% WI
2-Target Drilling
$721
$28,845 - $72,113
Uranium
Unconformity style
Waterbury South
Canada - Saskatchewan - Athabasca Basin
80% TC
2-Target Drilling
$180
$7,211 - $18,028
Uranium
Unconformity style
AKP
Canada - Saskatchewan - Athabasca Basin
100% WI
2-Target Drilling
$144
$5,769 - $14,423
Diamond
Kimberlite
Burrill
Canada - Saskatchewan - Athabasca Basin
100% WI
1-Grassroots
$144
$14,423 - $28,845
Uranium
Unconformity style
Carswell
Canada - Saskatchewan - Athabasca Basin
100% WI
1-Grassroots
$144
$14,423 - $28,845
Uranium
Unconformity
Chymko
Canada - Saskatchewan - Athabasca Basin
100% WI
1-Grassroots
$144
$14,423 - $28,845
Uranium
Unconformity style
Kingston
Canada - Saskatchewan - Athabasca Basin
100% WI
1-Grassroots
$144
$14,423 - $28,845
Uranium
Unconformity style
Marshall
Canada - Saskatchewan - Athabasca Basin
100% WI
1-Grassroots
$144
$14,423 - $28,845
Uranium
Unconformity style
Mouse Mountain
Canada - British Columbia - Central BC
100% WI
2-Target Drilling
$144
$5,769 - $14,423
Copper Gold
Porphyry
North Millenium
Canada - Saskatchewan - Athabasca Basin
100% WI
1-Grassroots
$144
$14,423 - $28,845
Uranium
Unconformity style
North Thompson
Canada - Manitoba - Thompson Belt
100% WI
2-Target Drilling
$144
$5,769 - $14,423
Nickel
Magmatic Segregation
Ruttan
Canada - Manitoba
100% WI
2-Target Drilling
$144
$5,769 - $14,423
Gold Copper Zinc
VMS
Taggart
Canada - Saskatchewan - Athabasca Basin
100% WI
1-Grassroots
$144
$14,423 - $28,845
Uranium
Unconformity style
Warren
Canada - Saskatchewan - Athabasca Basin
100% WI
1-Grassroots
$144
$14,423 - $28,845
Uranium
Unconformity style
Waterbury West
Canada - Saskatchewan - Athabasca Basin
2.00% NSR
1-Grassroots
$0
$0 - $0
Uranium
Unconformity style
Watson
Canada - Saskatchewan - Athabasca Basin
100% WI
1-Grassroots
$144
$14,423 - $28,845
Uranium
Unconformity style
Project Stage
Flagship
Secondary
Active
Grassroots (1) & Target Testing (2)
Discovery Delineation (3)
Infill Drilling & Metallurgy (4)
PEA (5) or PFS (6)
Feasibility & Permitting (7)
Construction (8) or Production (9)
Clicking on the project icon will display a popup identifying the company project, its stage and target metals, basic facts, a chart, a link to that project within that company's KRO Profile, a link to the most recent news release, and a link to the most recent KRO comment if one exists.
Net Interest: 83.3% WI Vested: Yes Uncapped NSR/GOR: 8.25%
Ownership Terms: CanAlaska entered into an option agreement with Mitsubishi Development Pty Ltd. (MDP) where MDP may acquire a 50% ownership interest in the West McArthur Project by expending a minimum Cdn$11.0 million in cash and exploration payments to CanAlaska over a 3½ -year period. Upon MDP fulfilling its exploration commitments under the Option Agreement, the parties will enter into a 50/50 joint venture. On Jan 21, 2016 Canalaska acquired Mitsubishi's 50% for $600,000 and a 1% NSR. Feb 24, 2016 deal optioning 60% to Cameco for $725,000 cash upfront plus $5 million exploration over 3 years to earn 30%, then pay $500,000 plus another $6,275,000 exploration over 3 years to earn 60%. $1 million is required in the first year, and 2 deep holes must be drilled in the Grid 1 area within 2 years. The province of Saskatchewan collects a 7.25% royalty on uranium production value less transportation costs of yellowcake to market. On Oct 19, 2018 Cameco after paying $725,000 and spending $5 million gave notice of vesting for 30% but declined to increase to 60%. Canalaska is operator. Due to a decision by Cameco not to participate its interest has declined to 16.71% as of Dec 31, 2023 and is also not participating in 2024.
Visualized Outcome: Canalaska - West McArthur as McArthur River Clone
Canalaska Uranium Ltd announced a basement hosted intersection on July 15, 2022 while testing a conductor southwest of the 42 Zone which has sandstone hosted mineralization related to the structure that hosts the Fox Lake zone owned by Cameco and Orano. The Fox Lake deposits are about 400,000 tonnes of 7.99% U3O8. An OV created for West McArthur in 2016 visualized a McArthur River clone and used costs provided by Cameco in a 2012 43-101 report. McArthur River is mined at only 200 tpd because it is about 1 million tonnes of 16% and located at the unconformity which creates difficult mining conditions that entail very high costs. In February 2024 Canalaska announced a substantial very high grade intersection at the unconformity after struggling during 2023 to define the geometry of the basement hosted mineralization encountered in 2022. The unconformity intersection will simplify delineation drilling of what may prove to be a "string of pearls" similar to the McArthur egress-style zones. This OV has been updated with an across the board 25% cost escalation of the costs used in 2016.
Source Note: The costs used in the original 2016 OV were based on CAD costs used by Cameco for Cigar Lake and McArthur River. For the 2024 OV update all costs have been increased by 25%.
Visualized Outcome Summary: Canalaska - West McArthur as McArthur River Clone
Economic Outcome (USD): Revenue Model at OV designated Metal Prices
Annual Average
Life of Mine (LOM)
LOM Stats
Recoverable Revenue:
$2,081,979,085
$30,294,221,705
$28,520/t ore Recoverable Value:
Smelter/Transport Costs:
($8,072,798)
($117,464,738)
0.4% of Recoverable Revenue
Gross Payable Revenue:
$2,073,906,288
$30,176,756,967
99.6% of Recoverable Revenue
Royalties:
($171,097,269)
($2,489,582,450)
8.3% of Gross Payable Revenue
Net Payable Revenue:
$1,902,809,019
$27,687,174,517
91.4% of Recoverable Revenue
Mining Cost:
($241,739,642)
($3,517,477,371)
45% of OpEx - $3,311.50/t ore
Processing Cost:
($214,879,682)
($3,126,646,552)
40% of OpEx - $2,943.56/t ore
Other Cost:
($32,231,952)
($468,996,983)
6% of OpEx - $441.53/t ore
Sustaining Cost:
($42,926,877)
($643,903,157)
8% of OpEx - $606.20/t ore
Total Operating Cost:
($532,053,252)
($7,761,026,932)
28% of Net Payable Revenue - OpEx - $7,306.56/t ore
Pre-Tax Cash Flow:
$1,370,755,767
$19,926,147,585
72% of Net Payable Revenue - $18,759.32/t ore
Taxes:
($522,614,507)
($7,596,298,197)
38% of Pre-Tax Cash Flow - $7,151.48/t ore
After-Tax Cash Flow:
$848,141,260
$12,329,849,388
45% of Net Payable Revenue - $11,607.84/t ore
Note: Concentrate transport costs, smelter treatment costs and retention are subtracted from recoverable revenue to get gross payable revenue to which the uncapped royalty rate for the project is applied. The annual average of LOM sustaining cost is expensed as an annual operating cost. Annual average figures reflect full production years.
Economic Outcome (USD): Royalty Model for 1% NSR at OV designated Metal Prices
Mine Life:
15 years
Startup
NPV 5%
NPV 10%
NPV 15%
Annual Avg NSR:
$19,028,090
Now
$184,183,392
$129,711,326
$95,837,901
LOM NSR:
$276,871,745
2030
$137,440,483
$73,218,662
$41,433,369
Economic Outcome - Discount Rate: 8.0% - CAD AT NPV: $6.7 billion - Fair Speculative Value
Gross Rock Value (USD/t):
$28,896
Recoverable Rock Value:
$28,520
Payable Rock Value:
$28,410
LOM Net Payable Revenue (USD):
$27,687,174,517
LOM PT Cash Flow (USD):
$19,926,147,585
LOM AT Cash Flow (USD):
$12,329,849,388
USD Pre-Tax NPV:
$8,974,993,916
Pre-Tax IRR:
74.5%
Pre-Tax Payback:
1.3
USD After-Tax NPV:
$4,903,948,170
After-Tax IRR:
45.9%
After-Tax Payback:
2.2
CAD Fair Spec Value Low:
$166,599,379
CAD Fair Spec Value High:
$333,198,758
CAD Implied Project Value:
$173,162,012
Price Target if Visualized Outcome delivered by Expl-Dev Cycle without dilution: CAD $26.17
Fair Speculative Value Stock Price Range: CAD $0.65 - $1.31
MSV (Market Cycle S Curve): Market Speculative Value represents the typical market pricing pattern of a new discovery as it moves through its exploration-development cycle. The irrational pricing behavior of the yellow channel contrasts with the fair speculative value of the blue channel as defined by the rational speculation model because during the pre-economic study stages there is great uncertainty about how big the discovery will turn out.
Fair Speculative Value Ladder
USD OV NPV
CAD OV NPV
Exch Rate
Diluted
Net Interest
$4,903,948,170
$6,663,975,168
1.3589
212,098,000
83.29%
Project Stage
Uncertainty Range
CAD FSV Range
CAD FSV per Share Range
CAD MSV per Share Range
Grassroots
0.5% - 1.0%
$33,319,876 - $66,639,752
$0.13 - $0.26
$0.26 - $0.65
Target Drilling
1.0% - 2.5%
$66,639,752 - $166,599,379
$0.26 - $0.65
$0.65 - $1.31
Discovery Delineation
2.5% - 5.0%
$166,599,379 - $333,198,758
$0.65 - $1.31
$1.31 - $19.63
Infill & Metallurgy
5% - 10%
$333,198,758 - $666,397,517
$1.31 - $2.62
$13.08 - $26.17
PEA
10% - 25%
$666,397,517 - $1,665,993,792
$2.62 - $6.54
$6.54 - $19.63
Prefeasibility
25% - 50%
$1,665,993,792 - $3,331,987,584
$6.54 - $13.08
$6.54 - $13.08
Permitting & Feasibility
50% - 75%
$3,331,987,584 - $4,997,981,376
$13.08 - $19.63
$6.54 - $13.08
Construction
75% - 100%
$4,997,981,376 - $6,663,975,168
$19.63 - $26.17
$13.08 - $19.63
Production
100%
$6,663,975,168
$26.17
$26.17 - $32.71
Market Speculative Value Stock Price Range: CAD $1.31 - $19.63
Warning: while the market spec value (S-Curve) and fair spec value channels presented in project value terms track the evolving expected ultimate outcome value, when presented in stock price terms the expected stock prices are subject to dilution through future equity financings or project interest farmouts.
Alternative Metal Price Scenarios
Metal 1
Metal 2
Metal 3
Metal 4
Uranium
Spot:
$79.63 /lb U3O8
OV Assigned:
$79.63 /lb U3O8
Pessimistic:
$50.00 /lb U3O8
Optimistic:
$125.00 /lb U3O8
Fantasy:
$200.00 /lb U3O8
Note: for Metal 1 pessimistic, optimistic and fantasy price scenarios, OV assigned prices are used for Metals 2-4
Economic Outcomes with Alternative Metal Price Scenarios
USD PT NPV
USD PT IRR
USD AT NPV
USD AT IRR
AT Payback yrs
Spot:
$8,974,993,916
74.5%
$4,903,948,170
45.9%
2.2
OV Assigned:
$8,974,993,916
74.5%
$4,903,948,170
45.9%
2.2
Pessimistic:
$3,434,939,024
35.4%
$1,690,716,333
22.4%
4.2
Optimistic:
$17,458,027,679
133.7%
$9,824,107,753
80.4%
1.2
Fantasy:
$31,481,116,334
231.5%
$17,957,499,172
137.1%
0.7
Fair Speculative Value for Alternative Metal Price Scenarios
Stage: Discovery Delineation - 2.5% - 5.0%
CAD AT NPV
CAD Target Price
CAD FSV Range
CAD FSV per Share Range
CAD MSV per Share Range
Spot:
$6,663,975,168
$26.17
$166,599,379 - $333,198,758
$0.65 - $1.31
$1.31 - $19.63
OV Assigned:
$6,663,975,168
$26.17
$166,599,379 - $333,198,758
$0.65 - $1.31
$1.31 - $19.63
Pessimistic:
$2,297,514,425
$9.02
$57,437,861 - $114,875,721
$0.23 - $0.45
$0.45 - $6.77
Optimistic:
$13,349,980,025
$52.42
$333,749,501 - $667,499,001
$1.31 - $2.62
$2.62 - $39.32
Fantasy:
$24,402,445,625
$95.83
$610,061,141 - $1,220,122,281
$2.40 - $4.79
$4.79 - $71.87
Disclaimer: A visualized outcome is one of many possible outcomes for an exploration project as it moves through the 9 stages of the exploration-development cycle from grassroots to a producing mine with failure as an outcome at any point along the way. The range of possible outcomes for the physical nature of a deposit shrinks after delivery of an initial 43-101 resource estimate. While the nature of the deposit constrains the range of mining scenarios, the cost assumptions will vary as the project moves through the feasibility demonstration stages of the cycle, which affects the economic value of the final outcome. This economic value will also vary according to the prices of the metals targeted for extraction which may change during the years it takes for a project to become a mine. An outcome visualization is thus a compilation of best guess assumptions for the key variables that drive the discounted cash flow model, the basis for assigning an economic value to a mine. An OV is not intended as a prediction, but rather as a framework that allows the incorporation of new information generated by the exploration-development cycle for the project into a valuation model on an ongoing, dynamic basis.
.
Outcome Visualization Project as of Sep 11, 2024: Canalaska: West McArthur as Arrow Clone
Visualized Outcome: Canalaska: West McArthur as Arrow Clone
Canalaska Uranium Ltd announced a basement hosted intersection on July 15, 2022 while testing a conductor southwest of the 42 Zone which has sandstone hosted mineralization related to the structure that hosts the Fox Lake zone owned by Cameco and Orano. The Fox Lake deposits are about 400,000 tonnes of 7.99% U3O8. An OV created for West McArthur in 2016 visualized a McArthur River clone and used costs provided by Cameco in a 2012 43-101 report. McArthur River is mined at only 200 tpd because it is about 1 million tonnes of 16% and located at the unconformity which creates difficult mining conditions that entail very high costs. While it is possible the unconformity above the hole #67 interval may host a McArthur egress-style zone, for the sake of this OV a deposit similar to NexGen's basement hosted Arrow deposit (P+P 4,575,0000 @ 2.37% U3O8) but higher grade was visualized as an outcome and underground mined at 1,300 tpd using the costs presented in NexGen's February 2021 feasibility study.
Visualized Outcome Summary: Canalaska: West McArthur as Arrow Clone
Economic Outcome (USD): Revenue Model at OV designated Metal Prices
Annual Average
Life of Mine (LOM)
LOM Stats
Recoverable Revenue:
$2,030,426,907
$21,395,436,319
$4,279/t ore Recoverable Value:
Smelter/Transport Costs:
$0
$0
0.0% of Recoverable Revenue
Gross Payable Revenue:
$2,030,426,907
$21,395,436,319
100.0% of Recoverable Revenue
Royalties:
($167,510,220)
($1,765,123,496)
8.3% of Gross Payable Revenue
Net Payable Revenue:
$1,862,916,687
$19,630,312,822
91.8% of Recoverable Revenue
Mining Cost:
($53,618,500)
($565,000,000)
32% of OpEx - $113.00/t ore
Processing Cost:
($61,685,000)
($650,000,000)
37% of OpEx - $130.00/t ore
Other Cost:
($22,301,500)
($235,000,000)
13% of OpEx - $47.00/t ore
Sustaining Cost:
($29,454,545)
($324,000,000)
18% of OpEx - $64.80/t ore
Total Operating Cost:
($167,059,545)
($1,774,000,000)
9% of Net Payable Revenue - OpEx - $354.80/t ore
Pre-Tax Cash Flow:
$1,695,857,141
$17,856,312,822
91% of Net Payable Revenue - $3,571.26/t ore
Taxes:
($673,398,449)
($7,090,151,385)
40% of Pre-Tax Cash Flow - $1,418.03/t ore
After-Tax Cash Flow:
$1,022,458,692
$10,766,161,437
55% of Net Payable Revenue - $2,153.23/t ore
Note: Concentrate transport costs, smelter treatment costs and retention are subtracted from recoverable revenue to get gross payable revenue to which the uncapped royalty rate for the project is applied. The annual average of LOM sustaining cost is expensed as an annual operating cost. Annual average figures reflect full production years.
Economic Outcome (USD): Royalty Model for 1% NSR at OV designated Metal Prices
Mine Life:
11 years
Startup
NPV 5%
NPV 10%
NPV 15%
Annual Avg NSR:
$18,629,167
Now
$142,574,268
$107,251,929
$83,171,629
LOM NSR:
$196,303,128
2030
$106,391,114
$60,540,918
$35,957,391
Economic Outcome - Discount Rate: 8.0% - CAD AT NPV: $7.7 billion - Good Speculative Value
Gross Rock Value (USD/t):
$4,389
Recoverable Rock Value:
$4,279
Payable Rock Value:
$4,279
LOM Net Payable Revenue (USD):
$19,630,312,822
LOM PT Cash Flow (USD):
$17,856,312,822
LOM AT Cash Flow (USD):
$10,766,161,437
USD Pre-Tax NPV:
$9,990,153,113
Pre-Tax IRR:
173.9%
Pre-Tax Payback:
0.6
USD After-Tax NPV:
$5,664,863,961
After-Tax IRR:
104.8%
After-Tax Payback:
1.0
CAD Fair Spec Value Low:
$192,449,591
CAD Fair Spec Value High:
$384,899,182
CAD Implied Project Value:
$173,162,012
Price Target if Visualized Outcome delivered by Expl-Dev Cycle without dilution: CAD $30.23
Fair Speculative Value Stock Price Range: CAD $0.76 - $1.51
MSV (Market Cycle S Curve): Market Speculative Value represents the typical market pricing pattern of a new discovery as it moves through its exploration-development cycle. The irrational pricing behavior of the yellow channel contrasts with the fair speculative value of the blue channel as defined by the rational speculation model because during the pre-economic study stages there is great uncertainty about how big the discovery will turn out.
Fair Speculative Value Ladder
USD OV NPV
CAD OV NPV
Exch Rate
Diluted
Net Interest
$5,664,863,961
$7,697,983,637
1.3589
212,098,000
83.29%
Project Stage
Uncertainty Range
CAD FSV Range
CAD FSV per Share Range
CAD MSV per Share Range
Grassroots
0.5% - 1.0%
$38,489,918 - $76,979,836
$0.15 - $0.30
$0.30 - $0.76
Target Drilling
1.0% - 2.5%
$76,979,836 - $192,449,591
$0.30 - $0.76
$0.76 - $1.51
Discovery Delineation
2.5% - 5.0%
$192,449,591 - $384,899,182
$0.76 - $1.51
$1.51 - $22.67
Infill & Metallurgy
5% - 10%
$384,899,182 - $769,798,364
$1.51 - $3.02
$15.11 - $30.23
PEA
10% - 25%
$769,798,364 - $1,924,495,909
$3.02 - $7.56
$7.56 - $22.67
Prefeasibility
25% - 50%
$1,924,495,909 - $3,848,991,818
$7.56 - $15.11
$7.56 - $15.11
Permitting & Feasibility
50% - 75%
$3,848,991,818 - $5,773,487,727
$15.11 - $22.67
$7.56 - $15.11
Construction
75% - 100%
$5,773,487,727 - $7,697,983,637
$22.67 - $30.23
$15.11 - $22.67
Production
100%
$7,697,983,637
$30.23
$30.23 - $37.79
Market Speculative Value Stock Price Range: CAD $1.51 - $22.67
Warning: while the market spec value (S-Curve) and fair spec value channels presented in project value terms track the evolving expected ultimate outcome value, when presented in stock price terms the expected stock prices are subject to dilution through future equity financings or project interest farmouts.
Alternative Metal Price Scenarios
Metal 1
Metal 2
Metal 3
Metal 4
Uranium
Spot:
$79.63 /lb U3O8
OV Assigned:
$79.63 /lb U3O8
Pessimistic:
$50.00 /lb U3O8
Optimistic:
$125.00 /lb U3O8
Fantasy:
$200.00 /lb U3O8
Note: for Metal 1 pessimistic, optimistic and fantasy price scenarios, OV assigned prices are used for Metals 2-4
Economic Outcomes with Alternative Metal Price Scenarios
USD PT NPV
USD PT IRR
USD AT NPV
USD AT IRR
AT Payback yrs
Spot:
$9,990,153,113
173.9%
$5,664,863,961
104.8%
1.0
OV Assigned:
$9,990,153,113
173.9%
$5,664,863,961
104.8%
1.0
Pessimistic:
$5,535,442,198
102.8%
$3,081,131,630
63.3%
1.6
Optimistic:
$16,811,288,253
282.8%
$9,621,122,342
168.0%
0.6
Fantasy:
$28,087,134,308
462.8%
$16,161,113,054
272.4%
0.4
Fair Speculative Value for Alternative Metal Price Scenarios
Stage: Discovery Delineation - 2.5% - 5.0%
CAD AT NPV
CAD Target Price
CAD FSV Range
CAD FSV per Share Range
CAD MSV per Share Range
Spot:
$7,697,983,637
$30.23
$192,449,591 - $384,899,182
$0.76 - $1.51
$1.51 - $22.67
OV Assigned:
$7,697,983,637
$30.23
$192,449,591 - $384,899,182
$0.76 - $1.51
$1.51 - $22.67
Pessimistic:
$4,186,949,772
$16.44
$104,673,744 - $209,347,489
$0.41 - $0.82
$0.82 - $12.33
Optimistic:
$13,074,143,151
$51.34
$326,853,579 - $653,707,158
$1.28 - $2.57
$2.57 - $38.51
Fantasy:
$21,961,336,529
$86.24
$549,033,413 - $1,098,066,826
$2.16 - $4.31
$4.31 - $64.68
Disclaimer: A visualized outcome is one of many possible outcomes for an exploration project as it moves through the 9 stages of the exploration-development cycle from grassroots to a producing mine with failure as an outcome at any point along the way. The range of possible outcomes for the physical nature of a deposit shrinks after delivery of an initial 43-101 resource estimate. While the nature of the deposit constrains the range of mining scenarios, the cost assumptions will vary as the project moves through the feasibility demonstration stages of the cycle, which affects the economic value of the final outcome. This economic value will also vary according to the prices of the metals targeted for extraction which may change during the years it takes for a project to become a mine. An outcome visualization is thus a compilation of best guess assumptions for the key variables that drive the discounted cash flow model, the basis for assigning an economic value to a mine. An OV is not intended as a prediction, but rather as a framework that allows the incorporation of new information generated by the exploration-development cycle for the project into a valuation model on an ongoing, dynamic basis.
Net Interest: 100% WI Vested: Yes Uncapped NSR/GOR: 7.25%
Ownership Terms: n December, 2007 CanAlaska entered in a joint venture whereby a Korean consortium omprising Hanwha Corporation, Korea Electric Power Corporation, Korea Resources Corporation and SK Energy Co. Ltd may earn a 50% interest in the Cree East Project by investing Cdn$19.0 mil. towards exploration, an amount which has been fully expended. The province of Saskatchewan collects a 7.25% royalty on uranium production value less transportation costs of yellowcake to market. May 18, 2017 deal whereby Canalaska got back 100% in return for providing certain indemnities.
Net Interest: 100% WI Vested: No Uncapped NSR/GOR: 1.50%
Ownership Terms: Agreement Sept 15, 2021 to acquire 100% from Durama Enterprises Ltd for $50,000, 300,000 shares $850,000 exploration over 4 years subject to 1.5% NSR.
Net Interest: 20% TC Vested: No Uncapped NSR/GOR: 0.00%
Ownership Terms: August 2009 option for Kodiak Exploration to earn up to 70%. In order to earn an initial 50-per-cent interest in the project, Kodiak must complete $4-million in exploration and issue one million Kodiak shares to CanAlaska over five years. Kodiak may earn a further 10-per-cent interest in the project (60 per cent total), by expending $3-million in exploration/prefeasibility work over an additional three-year period, issuing an additional 550,000 Kodiak shares and producing a 43-101-compliant resource estimate containing at least 35 million pounds U3O8 in the measured and indicated categories. By defining a resource of 50 million pounds U3O8 during the same period, Kodiak's interest may increase to 70 per cent. Optioned dropped. Agreement Sept 23, 2021 for Terra Uranium Pty to earn up to 80% by paying AUD $250,000, issuing 6% of issued stock on Teera securing a public lsiting, and spending AUD $5 million over 3 years. Canalaska receives a 2.25% NSR upon delivery of a 30 million lb JORC resource.
Target Metals: Uranium
Model: Unconformity style
Stage: 2-Target Drilling
Notes on McTavish Project
The McTavish project consists of three separate claim groups totalling 16,385 hectares. One claim group is wholly enclosed by Kodiak's West Millennium project. The other two parcels are intimately intertwined with West Millennium. UTEM data show that the conductors successfully drilled by Kodiak this past winter at West Millennium extend onto the McTavish property and appear to intensify. Previously announced Kodiak drill hole WM09-04, which intersected a 69-metre-thick fractured graphitic and pyritic pelite unit containing up to 0.13 per cent U3O8, is located only 400 metres from the McTavish property and underscores the excellent exploration potential of the project. UTEM data also define two other large-scale, high-magnitude conductors on the McTavish property, both of which are untested by drilling. The combined West Millennium-McTavish property package comprises nearly 380 square kilometres in the heart of the Athabasca basin, only three kilometres west of Cameco's Millennium deposit (47 million pounds U3O8 with an average grade of 4.5 per cent U3O8).
Net Interest: 25% WI Vested: Yes Uncapped NSR/GOR: 7.25%
Ownership Terms: Optioned Jan 5, 2016 to Denison Mines for $200,000 epxloration over 2 years to earn 51%, and another $500,000 to earn 75%. If either party gets diluted below 10% the interest converts into a 2% NSR that can be bought for $500.000 by the other party. The province of Saskatchewan collects a 7.25% royalty on uranium production value less transportation costs of yellowcake to market
Net Interest: 20% WI Vested: Yes Uncapped NSR/GOR: 7.25%
Ownership Terms: 3 claim blocks, 75% optioned to Northwestern Mineral Ventures, which can acquire a 50% interest by paying $150,000, issuing 300,000 shares, and spending $2,000,000 on exploration. NWT can increase its interest incrementally up to 75% by completing a feasibilty study. NMV dropped option. The province of Saskatchewan collects a 7.25% royalty on uranium production value less transportation costs of yellowcake to market. Agreement Sept 23, 2021 for Terra Uranium Pty to earn up to 80% by paying AUD $250,000, issuing 6% of issued stock on Teera securing a public lsiting, and spending AUD $5 million over 3 years. Canalaska receives a 2.25% NSR upon delivery of a 30 million lb JORC resource.
Net Interest: 100% WI Vested: Yes Uncapped NSR/GOR: 0.00%
Ownership Terms: Acquired by staking. Optioned May 18, 2016 to De Beers which enables it to earn 70% by spending CAD $1.4 million within 3 years, at which point Canalaska can chose to form a 70:30 JV, or require De Beers to spend another $3 million over the following year to earn 80%, at which point Canalaska can again elect to form an 80:20 JV, or require De Beers to go to 90% by spending $14 million over 3 years after which a 90:10 JV forms with standard dilution clauses. De Beers does not vest for any interest until Canalaska elects to form a JV or has spent CAD $20.4 million to earn 90%. Option dropped Dec 2016.
Target Metals: Diamond
Model: Kimberlite
Stage: 2-Target Drilling
Notes on AKP Project
Canalaska staked 75 discrete circular magnetic anomalies that showed up in a 2011 geophysical survey flown by the Saskatchewan Geological Survey in an area north of the Carswell Structure (a meteor impact site) that was beyond the limit of the Saskatchewan Kimberlite Indicator Mineral sampling.
De Beers plans to drill test land accessible targets established by an airborne geophysical survey until mid October. Key milestones will be confirmation of intersected kimberlite, followed by caustic dissolution establishing micro diamonds.
Net Interest: 100% WI Vested: Yes Uncapped NSR/GOR: 7.25%
Ownership Terms: Acquired by staking. The province of Saskatchewan collects a 7.25% royalty on uranium production value less transportation costs of yellowcake to market.
Target Metals: Uranium
Model: Unconformity
Stage: 1-Grassroots
Notes on Carswell Project
The claims were acquired in August 2014. The area was part of ground held by, and explored, by Amok Ltd in the 1960's to 1990's. There is only one historical drill hole on the property, CAR-311, consisting of steeply dipping, interlayered altered basement and sandstone, with Cluff Breccia dykes. Several uranium showings also occur on or near the property, mostly of radioactive pegmatoid boulders.
Net Interest: 100% WI Vested: Yes Uncapped NSR/GOR: 0.00%
Ownership Terms: Canalaska Uranium acquired the Hunter and Strong claim blocks by staking in 2018. On Feb 26, 2020 Fjordland Exploration optioned up to 80% which it can do by paying CAD $25,000, issuing 1 million shares and spending $1.5 million within 18 months to earn 49%, at which point it can elect to earn70% by paying $50,000, issuing 1.5 million shares and spending $2.5 million within 2 years, at which point it can earn 80% by paying $75,000, issuing 6 million shares and spending $5 million within 2 years. If Fjorland vests for 70% it must pay $10 million to Canalaska upon completing a positive feasibility study. Option dropped.