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 Corporate Profile: Gold Canyon Resources Inc
    Publisher: Kaiser Research Online
    Author: Copyright 2009 John A. Kaiser

 

Gold Canyon Resources Inc (GCU-V)

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Gold Canyon, led by President and CEO Akiko Levinson, is a primarily Canada-focused explorer focused on several gold properties as well as its Cordero Gallium project in Humboldt County Nevada. The company's most advanced gold project is Springpole in Ontario's Red Lake district with a 241,000 gold ounce resource in all categories. In Nevada, Gold Canyon's feasibility-stage Cordero project has a 43-101 compliant resource of 337,000 kilos of gallium in the indicated category with a further 384,000 kilos in the inferred category, making the project North America's largest primary gallium resource. An additional project in the United States, the Kratz Spring IOCG project with potential rare earth resources, is operated under a joint venture with JOGMEC, which is earning an 80% interest in the project.

Key to Understanding IPV Charts and Spec Value Hunter Tables
An IPV Chart is a graphical presentation of a Spec Value Hunter table that has been constructed according to the Rational Speculation Model developed by John Kaiser. The IPV Chart allows speculators to identify which projects offer poor, fair or good speculative value in both absolute and relative terms. The speculative value depends on the project stage, the project's implied value as calculated by the company's fully diluted capitalization, stock price and net project interest, and the dream target deemed appropriate for the project. A dream target is what a project would be worth in discounted cash flow terms once in production.
Green background indicates the dream target judged appropriate for this play by John Kaiser - otherwise unranked.
Poor Speculative Value - Fair Speculative Value - Good Speculative Value -
Note: narrow arrows indicate IPV is outside the fair value channel but within 25% of the fair value limits
Click on the company name to view the company profile, the project name to view project details.
Click on the project icon if its background is shaded to get the IPV Chart for that company.
Gold Canyon Project Valuations
CompanyProjectCountryStageIPV $
MM

$100
UPV
$500

$2000
Target MetalsDeposit Style
Key Company Projects
Gold Canyon Resources Inc (GCU-V)SpringpoleCanadaPEA $61 GoldVein
Gold Canyon Resources Inc (GCU-V)MulanjeMalawiGrassroots $304 Rare-Earth-Metals
Gold Canyon Resources Inc (GCU-V)CorderoUnited StatesDiscovery Delineation $61 GalliumVein
Rare Earth Index Members
Avalon Advanced Materials Inc (AVL-T)NechalachoCanadaPermitting & Feasibility $29 Rare-Earth-Metals Gallium Niobium BerylliumPeralkaline Intrusive
Great Western Minerals Group (GWG.H-V)Hoidas LakeCanadaPEA $9 Rare-Earth-Metals UndefinedVein
Hudson Resources Inc (HUD-V)Sarfartoq CarbonatiteGreenlandPEA $82 Rare-Earth-Metals Niobium TantalumCarbonatite
Quest Rare Minerals Ltd (QRM-T)Strange LakeCanadaPrefeasibility $12 Rare-Earth-Metals Niobium ZirconiumPeralkaline Intrusive
Rare Element Resources Ltd (REE-N)Bear LodgeUnited StatesPermitting & Feasibility $9 Rare-Earth-MetalsCarbonatite
Ontario Gold Projects
Brigus Gold Corp (BRD-T)Black FoxCanadaProduction $344 GoldQuartz Vein
Detour Gold Corp (DGC-T)Detour LakeCanadaProduction $1,879 Gold
Moss Lake Gold Mines Ltd (MOK-V)Moss LakeCanadaPEA $10 GoldShear / Stockwork
Probe Mines Ltd (PRB-V)Borden GoldCanadaPEA $481 Gold SilverDisseminated / Vein
Rainy River Resources Ltd (RR-T)Rainy RiverCanadaPermitting & Feasibility $377 Gold SilverBousquet style
Success Stories
Brett Resources Inc (BBR-V)Hammond ReefCanadaPEA $547 GoldShear / Stockwork
Trelawney Mining & Expl Inc (TRR-V)Chester - Cote LakeCanadaInfill & Metallurgy $683 GoldVein
Western Goldfields Inc (WGI-T)MesquiteUnited StatesProduction $448 GoldOxide
Springpole100% WICanada5-PEA
Springpole 43-101 Economic Study (USD except where noted otherwise)
PEAMay 3, 2013
SRK ConsultingSpringpole
Mining ScenarioTRMining Costs
Mining Type:OP
Cost Currency:USD
Processing Type:

Capital Cost:$438,000,000
Operating Rate:18,000 tpd
Sustaining Cost:$106,000,000
Operating Days:365
Operating Cost:$20.10/t
Strip Rate:1.7
BC Cash Cost per Unit: USD$609/oz Au
Mine Life:11 years
BC Cash Cost Net By-Products: USD$470/oz Au
LOM Tonnage:72,421,000 t
BC All-In Cost Net By-Prod: USD$716/oz Au
Est Startup:

Spot All-In Cost Net By-Prod: USD$764/oz Au
Production Potential

Metal 1Metal 2Metal 3Metal 4
Metal:AuAg

Grade:1.25 g/t6.31 g/t

Recovery:80.0%85.0%

Annual Output:217,000 oz1,200,000 oz

LOM Output:2,211,000 oz11,658,000 oz

Base Case Price:$1,300/oz$25.00/oz

Spot Price:$1,315/oz$16.47/oz

Base Case NSR:$42.94/t$4.57/t

Spot NSR:$43.43/t$3.01/t

Base Case Valuation
Reported Valuation Currency:USD
Pre-Tax NPV:$579,000,000
Discount Rate:5%
After-Tax NPV:
Total Base Case NSR USD:$47.50/t
Pre-Tax IRR:25%
Total Spot NSR USD:$46.44/t
After-Tax IRR:
Annual Pre-Tax Cash Flow Base Case and Net CF/FDSH USD:$180,043,000$0.95Pre-Tax Payback:1.7 y
Annual Pre-Tax Cash Flow Spot and Net CF/FDSH USD:$173,072,850$0.92After-Tax Payback:
Enterprise Value CAD :$59,973,804$.34/shShare Price:$0.34
Note:
Comparative Valuations using Life of Mine Averages
Discount Rate:0%5%10%15%
Base Case Pre-Tax NPV USD:$1,436,473,000$930,922,007$608,001,363$394,660,202
Base Case Pre-Tax Net NPV/Sh USD:$8.05$5.21$3.41$2.21
Premium BC PT NPV over EV:$7.78$4.95$3.14$1.95
Spot Pre-Tax NPV USD:$1,359,801,350$875,782,052$566,845,409$362,938,674
Spot Pre-Tax Net NPV/Sh:$7.62$4.91$3.17$2.03
Premium Spot PT NPV over EV USD:$7.35$4.64$2.91$1.77
The comparative NPV calculations assume constant annual cash flow based on the life of mine average annual payable production and CapEx spent in year one. The operating cost includes the LOM sustaining capital. Due to details such as ore scheduling these NPV figures may differ from those of the 43-101 economic study.
After-Tax Valuations using Spot By-Product Prices

 
 

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