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KMW Blog Feb 3, 2016: TSXV Town Hall meeting draws a crowd but no mainstream media


Posted: Feb 3, 2016JK: TSXV Town Hall meeting draws a crowd but no mainstream media
Published: Jan 29, 2016RC: The Venture gets an earful
The TSXV town hall meeting that took place on January 28, 2016 at the Pan Pacific drew a boisterous crowd but attracted no mainstream coverage. Conspicuous by its absence were the Vancouver Sun and its tabloid sister the Province. A search of the Vancouver Sun with the term "TSXV town hall meeting" returns no search results, but a Google powered "web results" sidebar yields a plethora of links to smaller media outlets. The quickest coverage came from Karen Baxter of Stockwatch Street Wire - Jan 28, 2016, Greg Klein of ResourceClips - The Venture gets an earful - Jan 29, 2016 and Daniel Banas of Equities.com - Emotions run high at TSXV Townhall meeting. Tom Allen's Howestreet.com followed with a Jim Goddard interview of VCMA activist Don Mosher that sure beats slogging through my own TSXV Town Hall Cheat Sheet - Jan 20, 2016 and Four Structural Changes that are killing the Canadian resource juniors - Dec 11, 2015. Cory Fleck and Al Korelin provided coverage ahead of the meeting through a January 7 Interview with me on the latest tactic by the regulators to stifle funding of juniors as well as broader exposure for the TSXV Town Hall Cheat Sheet. Howestreet also published Jim Goddard Interview with John Kaiser - Jan 23, 2016 in which I try to explain subtleties about the structural problems which are beyond the scope of the TSXV to do anything about.

The myopia of Vancouver's mainstream media is astonishing given that 62.1% of 1,271 TSXV "resource" listings are headquarterd in British Columbia (read Vancouver) and spent about $900 million on "overhead" during their last reported fiscal year. What is even more shocking is that 453 BC headquartered resource listings have negative working capital totaling $960 million. It is impossible to tell how much of this is owed to BC based businesses, but, given the venture capital nature of TSXV resource listings one can with great confidence predict that these "receivables" will never be repaid in cash. It will be settled for paper at some random deemed market price, with a 4 month hold restriction. But before that the stock will be offered at half cents no bid, and by the time the debt settlement paper is free trading, management will have done a 10:1 or worse rollback that makes the stock offered at $0.05, with a rapid plunge to post-rollback half cent offered as creditors race to convert their settlement paper into cash. Once the debts have vanished the company will be available as a shell for a new venture, with most of the stock held by a core group of backers who put real money into the treasury at the minimum price. That is just the way things work in the venture capital game when things go sour.

But normally things go sour with a specific venture because for whatever reason it failed to deliver on its initial promise at new wealth creation. It is not normal for more than half of the system to go sour, and the remaining half appear to be in similar danger of going sour. This is the sign of a catastrophic collapse for the Canadian venture capital system. David Baines, the former Vancouver Sun reporter who specialized in shooting bad fish swimming in a barrel constructed by the system's gatekeepers, who for a while appeared possessed by a jihadi gene obsessed with overthrowing the dictates of Richard Dawkin's "selfish gene", must be rolling over in his retirement hammock.

The Darwinian decimation of the pollution sanctioned by the TSXV through its shell manufacturing system called "capital pools" and facilitated by the "boutique" brokerage firms now disappearing like may flies landing on the Bow River is not a bad thing. In a free market system a cyclical downturn flushes away all the poseurs, hangerons, and absolute stupidos. But the real issue is whether or not Canada has a role to play in funneling risk capital into public companies whose goal is to apply human ingenuity to capital to create new wealth. In terms of innovation Canada is not exactly a fountain of productivity, though in the arena of the resource sector it has excelled while the Americans forfeited. The failure of the Vancouver Sun to grasp that Canada's last claim to non-mediocrity is on the chopping block reflects an existential resignation that could prove useful to Donald Trump in undermining Ted Cruz's march toward the Republican presidential nomination. The Australians who are feeling the pain of the back-side of the super-cycle are chortling with delight about the self-inflicted demise of their chief competition.

The focus should be on the remaining 336 resource juniors headquartered in BC which have about $960 million working capital left as of their latest filings. Given the dearth of new equity financings, unless these juniors go into hibernation and thereby wipe out any remaining reason to care about Canadian resource juniors, the cupboard will be empty by the time 2017 rolls around. The TSXV White Paper offers a number of promising steps, but they are only baby steps which will lead nowhere unless Canada's regulatory establishment rebels against its banking establishment handlers and rejects their agenda of turning Canada into a Rocking Chair Nation.

 
 

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