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Kaiser Media Watch Blog - March 1, 2021 to March 31, 2021
KRO Blog Overview
The KRO Blog is where unrestricted content of a time sensitive nature is posted. It includes the Kaiser Media Watch Blog which features content involving John Kaiser produced by third parties such as the Discovery Watch series by HoweStreet.com, interviews by outfits such as Investing News Network, SDLRC related commentary, the KRO Monthly Summaries, and just about anything else John writes that is not intended exclusively for the fee based KRO Membership.
Discovery Watch is a weekly 15-30 minute audio show produced by HoweStreet.com where Jim Goddard interviews John Kaiser about resource juniors with projects that have caught John's attention. The projects will not be limited to companies he has covered through the Spec Value Rating System. Jim and John will periodically circle back to review the projects and if necessary close them out as no longer worth watching. Check out the catalog of KRO Free Stuff. KRO offers a USD $450 Annual Individual Membership. This Discovery Watch session is available via YouTube or Podcast.
Disclosure: JK owns none of the featured companies; Northwest Copper is a Fair Spec Value rated Favorite; Clean TeQ is unrated; Adamera is Bottom-Fish Spec Value rated
Discovery Watch is a weekly 15-30 minute audio show produced by HoweStreet.com where Jim Goddard interviews John Kaiser about resource juniors with projects that have caught John's attention. The projects will not be limited to companies he has covered through the Spec Value Rating System. Jim and John will periodically circle back to review the projects and if necessary close them out as no longer worth watching. Check out the catalog of KRO Free Stuff. KRO offers a USD $450 Annual Individual Membership. This Discovery Watch session is available via YouTube or Podcast.
FPX Nickel Corp has had a Bottom-Fish Spec Value rating since 2017 while the junior worked on over-coming the limitations embedded in the PEA Cliffs delivered in March 2013 for a 114,000 tpd open-pit nickel mine at Decar which required a $9/lb plus nickel price to be viable. Most of this work has been completed and 2020 promises to be a relaunch of the Decar nickel story with an updated PEA expected in September 2020. FPX was introduced to Discovery watch in November 2016 as a different type of discovery in the sense that the Decar deposit, recognized in 2009, is unusual in having a very low 0.12% nickel grade as defined by a Davis Tube assay which only measures nickel recoverable through crushing and magnetic separation. This is different from a fire assay which will yield a similar grade for almost every ultramafic body that is economically worthless because it reflects nickel trapped in an olivine lattice. The Decar nickel is different because it occurs as awaruite, a nickel-iron alloy that is in effect natural stainless steel. The result is a very homogenous 1 billion tonne deposit that can be large scale open pit mined for 40 years without any sulphide related acid drainage and which, thanks to the magnesium content that ends in the tailings, could operate as a carbon sink which could bring Decar close to the holy grail of a carbon neutral mine. The key changes achieved by FPX management headed by Peter Bradshaw and Martin Turenne since buying back 100% ownership from Cliffs in 2015 are 1) replacing gravity separation with a flotation stage that generates a concentrate with 65% nickel that can be fed directly into stainless steel mills, delineation of the SE Baptiste zone that allows front-loading the ore schedule with higher grade ore, and preliminary studies that indicate that the concentrate can be converted directly into nickel sulphate, the form required by the EV battery market. FPX is unusual in that it has been funded by insiders and close associates through private placements that did not include warrants, a sign of strong internal belief that Decar is a winner. A key question the PEA will answer is the cost structure of Decar using the new flowsheet, which will make it easier to assess the potential economic value of developing Decar, expected to have a CapEx of $2 billion or more. The wild card is the future price of nickel which during the past decade has suffered from a glut of low grade laterite ore mined in Indonesia and the Phillipines and shipped as whole rock to Chinise blast furnaces where it is converted into nickel-pig-iron, a feedstock for lower quality stainless steel that meets China's standards. Indonesia no longer allows direct shipping of ore, and the Philippines is rapidly depleting the laterite resources suitable for this NPI market. The FPX PEA will show what nickel price is needed to achieve an NPV at least 50% of CapEx. Given that it will take another $40-$50 million to push Decar through feasibility to a permitted production decision, the speculative question is who might pay what percentage of the NPV at what stage for the privilege of investing another $2 billion to develop Decar as a 40 year mine in a secure jurisdiction that threatens little variation during the life of the mine. A decade ago the FPX team scoured the world in search of similar deposits, but concluded that Decar is pretty much unique. (Jul 22, 2020)
Disclosure: JK owns FPX Nickel; FPX Nickel is a Good Spec Value rated Favorite and P2 Gold is a Bottom-Fish Spec Value rated Favorite; Eskay Mining is Fair Spec Value rated.
Discovery Watch is a weekly 15-30 minute audio show produced by HoweStreet.com where Jim Goddard interviews John Kaiser about resource juniors with projects that have caught John's attention. The projects will not be limited to companies he has covered through the Spec Value Rating System. Jim and John will periodically circle back to review the projects and if necessary close them out as no longer worth watching. Check out the catalog of KRO Free Stuff. KRO offers a USD $450 Annual Individual Membership. This Discovery Watch session is available via YouTube or Podcast.
Disclosure: JK owns Endurance Gold; Endurance Gold is a Bottom-Fish Spec Value rated Favorite; Discovery Harbour is Bottom-Fish Spec Value rated; Uravan has no Spec Value Value.
Discovery Watch is a weekly 15-30 minute audio show produced by HoweStreet.com where Jim Goddard interviews John Kaiser about resource juniors with projects that have caught John's attention. The projects will not be limited to companies he has covered through the Spec Value Rating System. Jim and John will periodically circle back to review the projects and if necessary close them out as no longer worth watching. Check out the catalog of KRO Free Stuff. KRO offers a USD $450 Annual Individual Membership. This Discovery Watch session is available via YouTube or Podcast.
Opus One Resources Inc was introduced to DW in March 2017 as a proxy for a potential area play surrounding Osisko Mining's rethink of the Windfall gold project in the Urban-Barry area of Quebec. Although a greenstone belt this area unlike the Abitibi was not know for robust orogenic gold systems. Windfall was as an erratic gold system which yielded high grades but the zones did not hang together well. The Osisko team felt that Windfall was in fact a mis-understood Timmins style system, and undertook a massive drilling campaign which figured out the plunge of the vein systems, chased them deep, and eventually delivered a 6 million oz plus resource. Osisko started this during a bear market and there was a flurry of activity in adjoining juniors, but that didn't answer the question of whether Osisko had turned Windfall into something new and important on a regional scale rather than a local scale. Osisko had staked land to the east, surrounding the Fecteau project which Opus had optioned because of its apparent VMS potential. Opus itself was created to host a group of properties optioned from Adventure Gold before Probe Metals absorbed Adventure to get at the Val D'Or East project. The lack of visible skin in the game by the board of Opus was because they were custodians for hidden Quebec players. I turned Opus into a canary that served as a local proxy for the Windfall area play and a broader proxy for the Quebec resoruce sector. Opus One went from a tweety bird to near dead canary when Windfall failed to excite beyond Osisko and results of work done at Fecteau failed to excite the hidden shareholders. In early 2019 Opus optioned the Noyell project on the Casa Berardi Break east of the old Vezza Mine where Opus owned the Vezza North and Extension properties. Opus One's geologist Pierre O'Dowd was behind this project; a decade ago he had worked on it for a junior that used it as stepping stone for something "better" in Africa, and pulled the plug on the exploration strategy. Opus resumed that strategy in March 2020 with a 10 hole drill program but only got 2 holes done before Quebec pulled the plug on exploration due to Covid-19. This was a big disappointment because the Noyell target can only be drilled in winter when the swamp is frozen. When the holes were reported in early July and showed that the iron formation system was robust at depth and continued to the east if the IP survey is to be trusted, this near dead canary dragged itself off the cage bottom. Fecteau will only get some till sampling this summer, and even if it gets a couple holes to spend the flow-thru money, it would be very lucky to tag into a VMS zone right away. So this stock's market action will be about the resumption of drilling in January 2021 at Noyell, and thus it is now serving as a proxy for the awakening of a resource junior bull market. (Jul 15, 2020)
Disclosure: JK owns Opus One and Scandium Intl; Scandium Intl is a Bottom-Fish Spec Value rated Favorite; GT Gold is Fair Spec Value rated; Opus One is Bottom-Fish Spec Value rated.
Discovery Watch is a weekly 15-30 minute audio show produced by HoweStreet.com where Jim Goddard interviews John Kaiser about resource juniors with projects that have caught John's attention. The projects will not be limited to companies he has covered through the Spec Value Rating System. Jim and John will periodically circle back to review the projects and if necessary close them out as no longer worth watching. Check out the catalog of KRO Free Stuff. KRO offers a USD $450 Annual Individual Membership. This Discovery Watch session is available via YouTube or Podcast.
Disclosure: JK owns Cons Woodjam; Cons Woodjam is a Bottom-Fish Spec Value rated Favorite; Norden Crown and Searchlight are Bottom-Fish Spec Value rated.