Kaiser Watch July 28, 2022: The time is right for emerging discovery plays |
Jim (0:00:00): You will be in Vancouver September 9-10 for the Metal Investors Forum. What sort of companies are you inviting in light of the overall market gloom? |
Although the slight inversion of the US T-Bill yield curve suggests that inflation will be tamed as a recession kicks in, the potential for worsening China supply chain problems as Xi Jinping doubles down on his zero covid policy even as the less harmful BA5 variant starts to rampage, and Russia's ongoing Ukraine invasion will feed inflationary pressure even as an economic downturn unfolds, causing inflation to persist. Until this situation has stabilized investors will be reluctant to speculate and advanced resource projects for which sentiment is linked to metal prices that are unlikely to benefit from a global slowdown. For resource juniors to attract audiences they must deliver a story that is sustained by exploration news flow, which is only possible with a major discovery in a general bear market. I mention Eskay Mining toward the end as an example where the emerging focus on the Scarlet Ridge trend will attract audiences regardless how gloomy the macro context. Uncertainty about how long the doom and gloom can drag on is why I am only inviting companies to September 2022 MIF which have what I believe to be significant emerging discoveries that can serve as self-contained speculation bubbles that deliver S-Curve action. The YouTube Eskay Update by John DeDecker is worth the 19 minutes to watch, |
Eskay Mining Corp (ESK-V)


Favorite Fair Spec Value |
 |
 |
Eskay |
Canada - British Columbia |
3-Discovery Delineation |
Au Ag Cu Pb Zn |
 Long Term Chart of Key Rates |
 US T-Bill Yield Curve - slight inversion between 1 and 10 year |
 Declining spread between 10 and 2 year T-Bill Yields |
 The similar scale between Skeena's Eskay trend and Scarlet Ridge |
 Snapshot of SW View from Scarlet Ridge with Eskay Creek in background |
Jim (0:10:46): What are some the big discoveries you remember from the first half of your career? |
|
 Arequipa from the Glorious Good Old Days and Arizona Mining from more recent |
Jim (0:20:02): Have any of your invited companies accepted your invitation? |
Although I talked last week about Canalaska's emerging uranium discovery in the Athabasca Basin, a subsequent conversation with CEO Cory Belyk revealed how close Canalaska came to making this discovery in 2007, which discouraged further interest in this conductor. The difference was higher resolution geophysics done in Q1 of 2022 which showed that the graphite loaded fault structure was 100 m farther NW than those 2007 drill holes could have reached. And because the fabric of the rocks dips SE, the alteration halo that can ascend 500 m above the unconformity, would have tracked NW and been just out of reach of the holes as they hit the unconformity. So I talk about this again as an example of how new geophysics can revive plays that frustrated past exploration. |
Canalaska Uranium Ltd (CVV-V)


Bottom-Fish Spec Value |
 |
 |
West McArthur |
Canada - Saskatchewan |
3-Discovery Delineation |
U |
 Example of what a difference higher resolution geopjhysics can make |
 Story Path for Canalaska's West McArthur Project |
Jim (0:29:16): Last week Endurance Gold announced initial results for its core drilling program at the Reliance discovery. Does Endurance Gold qualify for your September MIF session? |
Endurance Gold has not yet been elevated to a KRO Favorite whose commentary is unrestricted for non KRO members, so the July 28, 2022 Tracker which explains to members why the way EDG has drilled hole #30 suggests a major breakthrough remains restricted. But I couldn't resist creating a public example of how with a discovery play speculators can immerse themselves in minutiae in search of clues that appear to offer an edge. |
Endurance Gold Corp (EDG-V)


Bottom-Fish Spec Value |
 |
 |
Reliance |
Canada - British Columbia |
3-Discovery Delineation |
Au |
 Searching Endurance Gold's Drill Plan for cluses about undisclosed visuals |
 Story Path for Endurance Gold's Reliance Project |
Disclosure: JK owns shares of Endurance Gold; Canalaska Uranium and Endurance Gold are Bottom-Fish Spec Value rated |