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 Corporate Profile: Atna Resources Ltd
    Publisher: Kaiser Research Online
    Author: Copyright 2009 John A Kaiser

 

Atna Resources Ltd (ATN-T)

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Atna Resources Ltd, led by Chairman David Watkins and CEO James Hesketh, is focused on precious metals in the United States. Atna's former flagship, the Pinson gold deposit in Nevada that hosts a 2.7 million gold ounce resource, was optioned 70% to Barrick for $30 million in exploration spending. In March 2008 Atna completed a merger with Canyon Resources and took over Canyon's advanced Briggs and Reward projects that it subsequently placed into production. An updated mine plan for the Briggs mine located in Inyo County, California, released in February 2009, calls for production of 40,000 - 50,000 ounces annually over a six year mine life, with life-of-mine cash costs of $468 per gold ounce and production starting in the first half of 2009. Gold production from Reward, combined with production at the Briggs mine which declared commercial production in February 2010 with production of 80 ounces per day at cash costs in the $600-$650 range, would yield the company an annual gold production rate of 70,000 to 90,000 ounces should both mines achieve production. In 2011 Atna also re-acquired from Barrick a 100% interest in Pinson, minus the surrounding exploration ground which Barrick is retaining, and intends to commence an underground mining operation at Pinson during the 4th Quarter of 2012.

Key to Understanding IPV Charts and Spec Value Hunter Tables
An IPV Chart is a graphical presentation of a Spec Value Hunter table that has been constructed according to the Rational Speculation Model developed by John Kaiser. The IPV Chart allows speculators to identify which projects offer poor, fair or good speculative value in both absolute and relative terms. The speculative value depends on the project stage, the project's implied value as calculated by the company's fully diluted capitalization, stock price and net project interest, and the dream target deemed appropriate for the project. A dream target is what a project would be worth in discounted cash flow terms once in production.
Green background indicates the dream target judged appropriate for this play by John Kaiser - otherwise unranked.
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Atna Project Valuations
CompanyProjectCountryStageIPV $
MM

$100
UPV
$500

$2000
Target MetalsDeposit Style
Key Company Projects
Atna Resources Ltd (ATN-T)BriggsUnited StatesProduction $11 GoldVein / Shear
Atna Resources Ltd (ATN-T)PinsonUnited StatesConstruction $11 GoldCarlin-style
Nevada Exploration Projects
Highway 50 Gold Corp (HWY-V)Golden BrewUnited StatesTarget Drilling $20 GoldCarlin Style
Canamex Gold Corp (CSQ-V)BrunerUnited StatesInfill & Metallurgy $22 GoldEpithermal Vein
Carlin Gold Corp (CGD-V)Cortez SummitUnited StatesTarget Drilling $10 GoldCarlin Style
Gryphon Gold Corp (GGN-T)BorealisUnited StatesPrefeasibility $6 GoldHigh Sulphidation
Nevada Exploration Inc (NGE-V)Kelly CreekUnited StatesGrassroots $21 GoldCarlin Style
Sniper Resources Ltd (SIP.H-V)Overland PassUnited StatesTarget Drilling $1 GoldCarlin Style
Advanced Projects
Allied Nevada Gold Corp. (ANV-T)Hycroft MineUnited StatesProduction $147 Gold SilverLow Sulphidation Epithermal
Golden Queen Mining Co Ltd (GQM-T)Soledad MtnUnited StatesPermitting & Feasibility $141 Gold SilverPorphyry / Epithermal Vein
Paramount Gold and Silver Corp (PZG-T)SleeperUnited StatesPrefeasibility $254 GoldEpithermal
Success Stories
NewWest Gold Corp (NWG-T)NorthumberlandUnited StatesDiscovery Delineation $409 GoldCarlin Style
AuEx Ventures Inc (XAU-T)Long CanyonUnited StatesPEA $634 GoldCarlin Style
Western Goldfields Inc (WGI-T)MesquiteUnited StatesProduction $448 GoldOxide
Western Silver - Penasquito - $35/sh
Pinson100% WIUnited States8-Construction
Pinson 43-101 Economic Study (USD except where noted otherwise)
PEADec 31, 2011
GustavsonPinson
Mining ScenarioTRMining Costs
Mining Type:UG
Cost Currency:USD
Processing Type:

Capital Cost:$72,253,000
Operating Rate:900 tpd
Sustaining Cost:$0
Operating Days:365
Operating Cost:$299.00/t
Strip Rate:

BC Cash Cost per Unit: USD$1,254/oz Au
Mine Life:6 years
BC Cash Cost Net By-Products: USD$1,254/oz Au
LOM Tonnage:1,746,600 t
BC All-In Cost Net By-Prod: USD$1,386/oz Au
Est Startup:2012, Q4
Spot All-In Cost Net By-Prod: USD$1,386/oz Au
Production Potential

Metal 1Metal 2Metal 3Metal 4
Metal:Au


Grade:12.50 g/t


Recovery:87.0%


Annual Output:78,342 oz


LOM Output:548,400 oz


Base Case Price:$1,300/oz


Spot Price:$1,315/oz


Base Case NSR:$310.03/t


Spot NSR:$313.62/t


Base Case Valuation
Reported Valuation Currency:USD
Pre-Tax NPV:$91,100,000
Discount Rate:5%
After-Tax NPV:
Total Base Case NSR USD:$310.03/t
Pre-Tax IRR:103%
Total Spot NSR USD:$313.62/t
After-Tax IRR:
Annual Pre-Tax Cash Flow Base Case and Net CF/FDSH USD:$3,623,100$0.02Pre-Tax Payback:2.2 y
Annual Pre-Tax Cash Flow Spot and Net CF/FDSH USD:$4,802,147$0.02After-Tax Payback:
Enterprise Value CAD :$45,064,345$.20/shShare Price:$0.05
Note:
Comparative Valuations using Life of Mine Averages
Discount Rate:0%5%10%15%
Base Case Pre-Tax NPV USD:($50,514,400)($51,298,343)($51,339,505)($50,905,601)
Base Case Pre-Tax Net NPV/Sh USD:($0.23)($0.23)($0.23)($0.23)
Premium BC PT NPV over EV:($0.38)($0.39)($0.39)($0.38)
Spot Pre-Tax NPV USD:($43,440,117)($45,598,838)($46,671,270)($47,025,528)
Spot Pre-Tax Net NPV/Sh:($0.19)($0.20)($0.21)($0.21)
Premium Spot PT NPV over EV USD:($0.35)($0.36)($0.37)($0.37)
The comparative NPV calculations assume constant annual cash flow based on the life of mine average annual payable production and CapEx spent in year one. The operating cost includes the LOM sustaining capital. Due to details such as ore scheduling these NPV figures may differ from those of the 43-101 economic study.
After-Tax Valuations using Spot By-Product Prices
Briggs100% WIUnited States9-Production
Briggs 43-101 Economic Study (USD except where noted otherwise)
FSUMar 30, 2009
Chlumsky, Armbrust, and MeyerBriggs
Mining ScenarioTRMining Costs
Mining Type:OP
Cost Currency:USD
Processing Type:heap leach
Capital Cost:$14,500,000
Operating Rate:7,000 tpd
Sustaining Cost:$11,400,000
Operating Days:365
Operating Cost:$9.15/t
Strip Rate:2.2
BC Cash Cost per Unit: USD$578/oz Au
Mine Life:6 years
BC Cash Cost Net By-Products: USD$578/oz Au
LOM Tonnage:11,308,248 t
BC All-In Cost Net By-Prod: USD$706/oz Au
Est Startup:e2009, Q3
Spot All-In Cost Net By-Prod: USD$706/oz Au
Production Potential

Metal 1Metal 2Metal 3Metal 4
Metal:Au


Grade:0.72 g/t


Recovery:93.4%


Annual Output:40,478 oz


LOM Output:202,394 oz


Base Case Price:$750/oz


Spot Price:$1,315/oz


Base Case NSR:$11.88/t


Spot NSR:$20.83/t


Base Case Valuation
Reported Valuation Currency:USD
Pre-Tax NPV:$84,400,000
Discount Rate:5%
After-Tax NPV:
Total Base Case NSR USD:$11.88/t
Pre-Tax IRR:58%
Total Spot NSR USD:$20.83/t
After-Tax IRR:
Annual Pre-Tax Cash Flow Base Case and Net CF/FDSH USD:$6,980,250$0.02Pre-Tax Payback:
Annual Pre-Tax Cash Flow Spot and Net CF/FDSH USD:$29,852,344$0.13After-Tax Payback:
Enterprise Value CAD :$45,064,345$.20/shShare Price:$0.05
Note:
Comparative Valuations using Life of Mine Averages
Discount Rate:0%5%10%15%
Base Case Pre-Tax NPV USD:$15,981,500$10,748,366$6,932,557$4,109,668
Base Case Pre-Tax Net NPV/Sh USD:$0.07$0.05$0.03$0.02
Premium BC PT NPV over EV:($0.09)($0.11)($0.13)($0.14)
Spot Pre-Tax NPV USD:$153,214,063$121,311,895$97,490,677$79,378,402
Spot Pre-Tax Net NPV/Sh:$0.69$0.54$0.44$0.36
Premium Spot PT NPV over EV USD:$0.53$0.39$0.28$0.20
The comparative NPV calculations assume constant annual cash flow based on the life of mine average annual payable production and CapEx spent in year one. The operating cost includes the LOM sustaining capital. Due to details such as ore scheduling these NPV figures may differ from those of the 43-101 economic study.
After-Tax Valuations using Spot By-Product Prices
Columbia100% WIUnited States5-PEA
Columbia 43-101 Economic Study (USD except where noted otherwise)
PEA May 10, 2010
GustavsonColumbia
Mining ScenarioTRMining Costs
Mining Type:OP
Cost Currency:USD
Processing Type:gravity/FL
Capital Cost:$72,200,000
Operating Rate:4,500 tpd
Sustaining Cost:$0
Operating Days:350
Operating Cost:$28.55/t
Strip Rate:3.1
BC Cash Cost per Unit: USD$646/oz Au
Mine Life:9 years
BC Cash Cost Net By-Products: USD$627/oz Au
LOM Tonnage:12,791,520 t
BC All-In Cost Net By-Prod: USD$742/oz Au
Est Startup:

Spot All-In Cost Net By-Prod: USD$738/oz Au
Production Potential

Metal 1Metal 2Metal 3Metal 4
Metal:AuAg

Grade:1.49 g/t3.98 g/t

Recovery:92.0%70.0%

Annual Output:69,646 oz96,524 oz

LOM Output:626,817 oz868,716 oz

Base Case Price:$850/oz$13.50/oz

Spot Price:$1,315/oz$16.47/oz

Base Case NSR:$37.59/t$0.83/t

Spot NSR:$58.15/t$1.01/t

Base Case Valuation
Reported Valuation Currency:USD
Pre-Tax NPV:$27,300,000
Discount Rate:5%
After-Tax NPV:
Total Base Case NSR USD:$38.41/t
Pre-Tax IRR:11%
Total Spot NSR USD:$59.16/t
After-Tax IRR:
Annual Pre-Tax Cash Flow Base Case and Net CF/FDSH USD:$15,535,924$0.07Pre-Tax Payback:5.5 y
Annual Pre-Tax Cash Flow Spot and Net CF/FDSH USD:$48,211,473$0.22After-Tax Payback:
Enterprise Value CAD :$45,064,345$.20/shShare Price:$0.05
Note:
Comparative Valuations using Life of Mine Averages
Discount Rate:0%5%10%15%
Base Case Pre-Tax NPV USD:$67,623,316$36,406,264$15,701,597$1,679,100
Base Case Pre-Tax Net NPV/Sh USD:$0.30$0.16$0.07$0.01
Premium BC PT NPV over EV:$0.15$0.01($0.09)($0.15)
Spot Pre-Tax NPV USD:$361,703,253$257,598,619$186,773,653$137,256,598
Spot Pre-Tax Net NPV/Sh:$1.62$1.15$0.84$0.61
Premium Spot PT NPV over EV USD:$1.46$1.00$0.68$0.46
The comparative NPV calculations assume constant annual cash flow based on the life of mine average annual payable production and CapEx spent in year one. The operating cost includes the LOM sustaining capital. Due to details such as ore scheduling these NPV figures may differ from those of the 43-101 economic study.
After-Tax Valuations using Spot By-Product Prices
Reward
100% WIUnited States8-Construction
Reward 43-101 Economic Study (USD except where noted otherwise)
FSJul 29, 2012
Chlumsky, Armbrust, and MeyerReward
Mining ScenarioTRMining Costs
Mining Type:OP
Cost Currency:USD
Processing Type:HL
Capital Cost:$34,500,000
Operating Rate:5,900 tpd
Sustaining Cost:$6,900,000
Operating Days:365
Operating Cost:$11.42/t
Strip Rate:3.1
BC Cash Cost per Unit: USD$810/oz Au
Mine Life:6 years
BC Cash Cost Net By-Products: USD$810/oz Au
LOM Tonnage:10,755,763 t
BC All-In Cost Net By-Prod: USD$1,004/oz Au
Est Startup:

Spot All-In Cost Net By-Prod: USD$1,004/oz Au
Production Potential

Metal 1Metal 2Metal 3Metal 4
Metal:Au


Grade:0.72 g/t


Recovery:80.0%


Annual Output:30,378 oz


LOM Output:212,648 oz


Base Case Price:$1,300/oz


Spot Price:$1,315/oz


Base Case NSR:$18.34/t


Spot NSR:$18.55/t


Base Case Valuation
Reported Valuation Currency:USD
Pre-Tax NPV:$68,582,000
Discount Rate:5%
After-Tax NPV:
Total Base Case NSR USD:$18.34/t
Pre-Tax IRR:48%
Total Spot NSR USD:$18.55/t
After-Tax IRR:
Annual Pre-Tax Cash Flow Base Case and Net CF/FDSH USD:$14,898,430$0.06Pre-Tax Payback:2.3 y
Annual Pre-Tax Cash Flow Spot and Net CF/FDSH USD:$15,355,619$0.06After-Tax Payback:
Enterprise Value CAD :$45,064,345$.20/shShare Price:$0.05
Note:
Comparative Valuations using Life of Mine Averages
Discount Rate:0%5%10%15%
Base Case Pre-Tax NPV USD:$47,990,580$33,602,664$23,070,906$15,244,083
Base Case Pre-Tax Net NPV/Sh USD:$0.21$0.15$0.10$0.07
Premium BC PT NPV over EV:$0.06($0.01)($0.05)($0.09)
Spot Pre-Tax NPV USD:$50,733,713$35,812,712$24,881,067$16,748,625
Spot Pre-Tax Net NPV/Sh:$0.23$0.16$0.11$0.07
Premium Spot PT NPV over EV USD:$0.07$0.00($0.05)($0.08)
The comparative NPV calculations assume constant annual cash flow based on the life of mine average annual payable production and CapEx spent in year one. The operating cost includes the LOM sustaining capital. Due to details such as ore scheduling these NPV figures may differ from those of the 43-101 economic study.
After-Tax Valuations using Spot By-Product Prices

 
 

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