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 Corporate Profile: Brigus Gold Corp
    Publisher: Kaiser Research Online
    Author: Copyright 2013 John A Kaiser

 

Brigus Gold Corp (BRD-T)

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Brigus, which changed its name from Apollo Gold, is focused on its flagship Black Fox project in Ontario, with open pit reserves of 730,000 gold ounces in the probable reserve category. An April 2008 feasibility study called for gold production of 150,000 ounces annually, with cash costs of $326 per gold ounce during the first three years of production at Black Fox. The company's 50% controlled Montana Tunnels project in Montana's Colorado Mining District, a polymetallic project with 550,000 gold ounces and 8 million silver ounces in the reserve category, was sold to its joint venture partner in October 2009 for $9 million. In March 2010 the company announced an agreement to acquire Linear gold, on the basis of 5.474 Apollo shares per Linear share, with the intention of bringing Linear's Goldfield's project into production in order to complement Apollo's existing gold production from its operating Black Fox project. Upon completion of the transaction in June 2010 the company underwent a 4:1 rollback and changed its name to Brigus Gold. In November 2010 the company announced an agreement where Sandstorm Resources would acquire 12% of the life-of-mine production from the Black Fox project at $500 per ounce in return for a $56.3 million upfront payment. In December 2013 the company announced it had agreed to be acquired by Primero Mining on thebasis of 0.175 Primero share per Brigus share, or $0.91 per Brigus share, roughly a $220 million value, plus 0.1 share in a spin-off company holding Brigus' non-core assets.

Key to Understanding IPV Charts and Spec Value Hunter Tables
An IPV Chart is a graphical presentation of a Spec Value Hunter table that has been constructed according to the Rational Speculation Model developed by John Kaiser. The IPV Chart allows speculators to identify which projects offer poor, fair or good speculative value in both absolute and relative terms. The speculative value depends on the project stage, the project's implied value as calculated by the company's fully diluted capitalization, stock price and net project interest, and the dream target deemed appropriate for the project. A dream target is what a project would be worth in discounted cash flow terms once in production.
Green background indicates the dream target judged appropriate for this play by John Kaiser - otherwise unranked.
Poor Speculative Value - Fair Speculative Value - Good Speculative Value -
Note: narrow arrows indicate IPV is outside the fair value channel but within 25% of the fair value limits
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Brigus Gold Project Valuations
CompanyProjectCountryStageIPV $
MM

$100
UPV
$500

$2000
Target MetalsDeposit Style
Key Company Projects
Brigus Gold Corp (BRD-T)Black FoxCanadaProduction $344 GoldQuartz Vein
Timmins Gold Projects
Alchemist Mining Inc (AMS-V)CarscallenCanadaTarget Drilling $1 GoldVein / Shear
Claim Post Resources Inc (CPS-V)RaceTrackCanadaGrassroots $12 Gold
Lexam VG Gold Inc (LEX-T)FullerCanadaPrefeasibility $50 GoldVein
Melkior Resources Inc (MKR-V)CarscallenCanadaDiscovery Delineation $7 GoldVein
St. Andrew Goldfields Ltd (SAS-T)Holloway-HoltCanadaProduction $244 GoldQuartz Vein
Ontario Gold Projects
Northern Gold Mining Inc (NGM-V)GarrisonCanadaPEA $4 GoldVein / Stockwork
Probe Mines Ltd (PRB-V)Borden GoldCanadaPEA $481 Gold SilverDisseminated / Vein
Rubicon Minerals Corp (RMX-T)PhoenixCanadaTarget Drilling $74 GoldVein
Success Stories
Prodigy Gold Inc (PDG-V)MaginoCanadaPrefeasibility $334 GoldVein / Stockwork
Rainy River Resources Ltd (RR-T)Rainy RiverCanadaPermitting & Feasibility $377 Gold SilverBousquet style
Trelawney Mining & Expl Inc (TRR-V)Chester - Cote LakeCanadaInfill & Metallurgy $683 GoldVein
Goldfields100% WICanada6-Prefeasibility
Goldfields 43-101 Economic Study (USD except where noted otherwise)
PFSOct 6, 2011
March ConsultingGoldfields
Mining ScenarioTRMining Costs
Mining Type:OP
Cost Currency:USD
Processing Type:

Capital Cost:$160,000,000
Operating Rate:5,000 tpd
Sustaining Cost:$0
Operating Days:365
Operating Cost:$21.69/t
Strip Rate:4.6
BC Cash Cost per Unit: USD$554/oz Au
Mine Life:13 years
BC Cash Cost Net By-Products: USD$554/oz Au
LOM Tonnage:22,333,045 t
BC All-In Cost Net By-Prod: USD$727/oz Au
Est Startup:

Spot All-In Cost Net By-Prod: USD$727/oz Au
Production Potential

Metal 1Metal 2Metal 3Metal 4
Metal:Au


Grade:1.42 g/t


Recovery:90.0%


Annual Output:71,400 oz


LOM Output:928,200 oz


Base Case Price:$1,250/oz


Spot Price:$1,315/oz


Base Case NSR:$48.90/t


Spot NSR:$51.45/t


Base Case Valuation
Reported Valuation Currency:USD
Pre-Tax NPV:$144,300,000
Discount Rate:5%
After-Tax NPV:
Total Base Case NSR USD:$48.90/t
Pre-Tax IRR:20%
Total Spot NSR USD:$51.45/t
After-Tax IRR:
Annual Pre-Tax Cash Flow Base Case and Net CF/FDSH USD:$49,665,750$0.19Pre-Tax Payback:
Annual Pre-Tax Cash Flow Spot and Net CF/FDSH USD:$54,310,320$0.20After-Tax Payback:
Enterprise Value CAD :$487,907,439$1.83/shShare Price:$1.29
Note: 2% NSR
Comparative Valuations using Life of Mine Averages
Discount Rate:0%5%10%15%
Base Case Pre-Tax NPV USD:$485,654,750$291,941,760$175,266,830$101,992,331
Base Case Pre-Tax Net NPV/Sh USD:$1.82$1.09$0.66$0.38
Premium BC PT NPV over EV:$0.40($0.33)($0.77)($1.04)
Spot Pre-Tax NPV USD:$546,034,160$333,493,290$205,259,589$124,541,302
Spot Pre-Tax Net NPV/Sh:$2.05$1.25$0.77$0.47
Premium Spot PT NPV over EV USD:$0.63($0.17)($0.65)($0.96)
The comparative NPV calculations assume constant annual cash flow based on the life of mine average annual payable production and CapEx spent in year one. The operating cost includes the LOM sustaining capital. Due to details such as ore scheduling these NPV figures may differ from those of the 43-101 economic study.
After-Tax Valuations using Spot By-Product Prices

 
 

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