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 Corporate Profile: Kimber Resources Inc
    Publisher: Kaiser Research Online
    Author: Copyright 2013 John A Kaiser

 

Kimber Resources Inc (KBR-T)

SearchWeb SiteTreeForumSEDARQuoteIPV
Kimber, led by CEO Gordon Cummings and Chairman Peter Nixon, is focused on its flagship Monterde project in Mexico's Chihuahua state where the company has establlished a measured resource of 23 million tonnes at .779 grams per tonne gold and 44 grams per tonne silver (582,000 gold ounces and 33 million silver ounces) and 9.95 million tonnes at 0.681 g/t Au and 26 g/t Ag (217,000 gold ounces and 8.4 silver ounces) and 3.3 milion inferred tonnes grading 0.64 g/t Au and 17.2 g/t Ag (68,000 gold ounces and 1.8 million silver ounces.) In September 2013, faced with negative working capital, the company agreed to be acquired by Invecture Group SA de CV for $0.15 per share in cash, around a $12.7 million value for Kimber.

Key to Understanding IPV Charts and Spec Value Hunter Tables
An IPV Chart is a graphical presentation of a Spec Value Hunter table that has been constructed according to the Rational Speculation Model developed by John Kaiser. The IPV Chart allows speculators to identify which projects offer poor, fair or good speculative value in both absolute and relative terms. The speculative value depends on the project stage, the project's implied value as calculated by the company's fully diluted capitalization, stock price and net project interest, and the dream target deemed appropriate for the project. A dream target is what a project would be worth in discounted cash flow terms once in production.
Green background indicates the dream target judged appropriate for this play by John Kaiser - otherwise unranked.
Poor Speculative Value - Fair Speculative Value - Good Speculative Value -
Note: narrow arrows indicate IPV is outside the fair value channel but within 25% of the fair value limits
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Kimber Project Valuations
CompanyProjectCountryStageIPV $
MM

$100
UPV
$500

$2000
Target MetalsDeposit Style
Key Company Projects
Kimber Resources Inc (KBR-T)MonterdeMexicoPrefeasibility $13 Gold SilverLow sulphidation Epithermal
Peer Projects
Almaden Minerals Ltd (AMM-T)IxtacaMexicoPrefeasibility $124 Gold SilverEpithermal Vein
Animas Resources Ltd (ANI-V)Santa GertrudisMexicoInfill & Metallurgy $17 GoldIntrusive-Related
Camino Minerals Corp (COR-V)El RinconMexicoTarget Drilling $19 GoldHigh Sulphidation Epithermal
Golden Goliath Resources Ltd (GNG-V)UruachicMexicoInfill & Metallurgy $4 Silver GoldVein / Skarn
Plata Latina Minerals Corporation (PLA-V)NaranjilloMexicoInfill & Metallurgy $3 Silver GoldEpithermal Vein
Comparable Projects
Alamos Gold Inc (AGI-T)MulatosMexicoProduction $2,904 GoldHigh Sulphidation Epithermal
Argonaut Gold Inc (AR-T)El CastilloMexicoProduction $456 GoldEpithermal
Torex Gold Resources Inc (TXG-T)Media LunaMexicoProduction $1,035 GoldSkarn
Success Stories
Grayd Resource Corp (GYD-V)La IndiaMexicoPEA $244 GoldHigh Sulphidation Epithermal
Pediment Gold Corp. (PEZ-T)San AntonioMexicoPEA $144 GoldShear
Silvermex Resources Ltd (SLX-T)San MarcialMexicoInfill & Metallurgy $137 SilverVein
Monterde100% WIMexico6-Prefeasibility
Monterde 43-101 Economic Study (USD except where noted otherwise)
PEAJul 11, 2011
Kirkham GeosystemsMonterde
Mining ScenarioTRMining Costs
Mining Type:UG+OP
Cost Currency:USD
Processing Type:milling
Capital Cost:$100,100,000
Operating Rate:2,800 tpd
Sustaining Cost:$19,200,000
Operating Days:365
Operating Cost:$41.90/t
Strip Rate:6.3
BC Cash Cost per Unit: USD$806/oz Au
Mine Life:14 years
BC Cash Cost Net By-Products: USD$291/oz Au
LOM Tonnage:11,674,000 t
BC All-In Cost Net By-Prod: USD$451/oz Au
Est Startup:

Spot All-In Cost Net By-Prod: USD$520/oz Au
Production Potential

Metal 1Metal 2Metal 3Metal 4
Metal:AuAg

Grade:2.12 g/t91.98 g/t

Recovery:94.2%60.9%

Annual Output:53,143 oz1,441,000 oz

LOM Output:744,000 oz20,168,000 oz

Base Case Price:$1,100/oz$19.00/oz

Spot Price:$1,315/oz$16.47/oz

Base Case NSR:$57.20/t$26.79/t

Spot NSR:$68.38/t$23.22/t

Base Case Valuation
Reported Valuation Currency:USD
Pre-Tax NPV:$295,000,000
Discount Rate:8%
After-Tax NPV:$211,900,000
Total Base Case NSR USD:$83.99/t
Pre-Tax IRR:48%
Total Spot NSR USD:$91.60/t
After-Tax IRR:41%
Annual Pre-Tax Cash Flow Base Case and Net CF/FDSH USD:$43,014,500$0.47Pre-Tax Payback:
Annual Pre-Tax Cash Flow Spot and Net CF/FDSH USD:$50,797,172$0.56After-Tax Payback:1.9 y
Enterprise Value CAD :$18,575,821$.21/shShare Price:$0.15
Note:
Comparative Valuations using Life of Mine Averages
Discount Rate:0%5%10%15%
Base Case Pre-Tax NPV USD:$482,903,000$297,247,440$187,883,175$120,247,606
Base Case Pre-Tax Net NPV/Sh USD:$5.48$3.37$2.13$1.37
Premium BC PT NPV over EV:$5.32$3.21$1.97$1.20
Spot Pre-Tax NPV USD:$591,860,410$370,616,847$240,003,641$158,988,229
Spot Pre-Tax Net NPV/Sh:$6.72$4.21$2.72$1.81
Premium Spot PT NPV over EV USD:$6.56$4.04$2.56$1.64
The comparative NPV calculations assume constant annual cash flow based on the life of mine average annual payable production and CapEx spent in year one. The operating cost includes the LOM sustaining capital. Due to details such as ore scheduling these NPV figures may differ from those of the 43-101 economic study.
After-Tax Valuations using Spot By-Product Prices
Monterde 43-101 Economic Study (USD except where noted otherwise)
PEAJul 16, 2010
Micon Intl.Monterde
Mining ScenarioTRMining Costs
Mining Type:UG+OP
Cost Currency:USD
Processing Type:

Capital Cost:$111,400,000
Operating Rate:2,500 tpd
Sustaining Cost:$19,200,000
Operating Days:360
Operating Cost:$47.11/t
Strip Rate:

BC Cash Cost per Unit: USD$684/oz Au
Mine Life:13 years
BC Cash Cost Net By-Products: USD$266/oz Au
LOM Tonnage:10,609,000 t
BC All-In Cost Net By-Prod: USD$427/oz Au
Est Startup:

Spot All-In Cost Net By-Prod: USD$353/oz Au
Production Potential

Metal 1Metal 2Metal 3Metal 4
Metal:AuAg

Grade:2.54 g/t105.50 g/t

Recovery:94.2%60.9%

Annual Output:62,000 oz1,850,000 oz

LOM Output:813,000 oz21,424,000 oz

Base Case Price:$875/oz$14.00/oz

Spot Price:$1,315/oz$16.47/oz

Base Case NSR:$60.28/t$28.78/t

Spot NSR:$90.59/t$33.86/t

Base Case Valuation
Reported Valuation Currency:USD
Pre-Tax NPV:$295,000,000
Discount Rate:8%
After-Tax NPV:
Total Base Case NSR USD:$89.06/t
Pre-Tax IRR:48%
Total Spot NSR USD:$124.45/t
After-Tax IRR:
Annual Pre-Tax Cash Flow Base Case and Net CF/FDSH USD:$37,751,000$0.41Pre-Tax Payback:5.3 y
Annual Pre-Tax Cash Flow Spot and Net CF/FDSH USD:$69,603,600$0.77After-Tax Payback:
Enterprise Value CAD :$18,575,821$.21/shShare Price:$0.15
Note:
Comparative Valuations using Life of Mine Averages
Discount Rate:0%5%10%15%
Base Case Pre-Tax NPV USD:$360,163,000$218,422,085$132,970,627$79,237,828
Base Case Pre-Tax Net NPV/Sh USD:$4.09$2.48$1.51$0.90
Premium BC PT NPV over EV:$3.93$2.32$1.35$0.74
Spot Pre-Tax NPV USD:$774,246,800$503,383,726$338,661,866$233,879,347
Spot Pre-Tax Net NPV/Sh:$8.79$5.72$3.85$2.66
Premium Spot PT NPV over EV USD:$8.63$5.55$3.68$2.49
The comparative NPV calculations assume constant annual cash flow based on the life of mine average annual payable production and CapEx spent in year one. The operating cost includes the LOM sustaining capital. Due to details such as ore scheduling these NPV figures may differ from those of the 43-101 economic study.
After-Tax Valuations using Spot By-Product Prices

 
 

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