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| Corporate Profile: Kimber Resources Inc Publisher: Kaiser Research Online Author: Copyright 2013 John A Kaiser
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Kimber Resources Inc (KBR-T)
Kimber, led by CEO Gordon Cummings and Chairman Peter Nixon, is focused on its flagship Monterde project in Mexico's Chihuahua state where the company has establlished a measured resource of 23 million tonnes at .779 grams per tonne gold and 44 grams per tonne silver (582,000 gold ounces and 33 million silver ounces) and 9.95 million tonnes at 0.681 g/t Au and 26 g/t Ag (217,000 gold ounces and 8.4 silver ounces) and 3.3 milion inferred tonnes grading 0.64 g/t Au and 17.2 g/t Ag (68,000 gold ounces and 1.8 million silver ounces.) In September 2013, faced with negative working capital, the company agreed to be acquired by Invecture Group SA de CV for $0.15 per share in cash, around a $12.7 million value for Kimber. |
Key to Understanding IPV Charts and Spec Value Hunter Tables
An IPV Chart is a graphical presentation of a Spec Value Hunter table that has been constructed according to the Rational Speculation Model developed by John Kaiser. The IPV Chart allows speculators to identify which projects offer poor, fair or good speculative value in both absolute and relative terms. The speculative value depends on the project stage, the project's implied value as calculated by the company's fully diluted capitalization, stock price and net project interest, and the dream target deemed appropriate for the project. A dream target is what a project would be worth in discounted cash flow terms once in production. |
Green background indicates the dream target judged appropriate for this play by John Kaiser - otherwise unranked. |
Poor Speculative Value - |
Fair Speculative Value - |
Good Speculative Value - |
Note: narrow arrows indicate IPV is outside the fair value channel but within 25% of the fair value limits |
Click on the company name to view the company profile, the project name to view project details. |
Click on the project icon if its background is shaded to get the IPV Chart for that company. |
Monterde | | 100% WI | Mexico | 6-Prefeasibility |
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Monterde 43-101 Economic Study (USD except where noted otherwise) |
PEA | Jul 11, 2011 |
| Kirkham Geosystems | Monterde |
Mining Scenario | TR | Mining Costs |
Mining Type: | UG+OP |
| Cost Currency: | USD |
Processing Type: | milling |
| Capital Cost: | $100,100,000 |
Operating Rate: | 2,800 tpd |
| Sustaining Cost: | $19,200,000 |
Operating Days: | 365 |
| Operating Cost: | $41.90/t |
Strip Rate: | 6.3 |
| BC Cash Cost per Unit: USD | $806/oz Au |
Mine Life: | 14 years |
| BC Cash Cost Net By-Products: USD | $291/oz Au |
LOM Tonnage: | 11,674,000 t |
| BC All-In Cost Net By-Prod: USD | $451/oz Au |
Est Startup: |
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| Spot All-In Cost Net By-Prod: USD | $520/oz Au |
Production Potential |
| Metal 1 | Metal 2 | Metal 3 | Metal 4 |
Metal: | Au | Ag |
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Grade: | 2.12 g/t | 91.98 g/t |
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Recovery: | 94.2% | 60.9% |
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Annual Output: | 53,143 oz | 1,441,000 oz |
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LOM Output: | 744,000 oz | 20,168,000 oz |
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Base Case Price: | $1,100/oz | $19.00/oz |
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Spot Price: | $1,315/oz | $16.47/oz |
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Base Case NSR: | $57.20/t | $26.79/t |
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Spot NSR: | $68.38/t | $23.22/t |
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Base Case Valuation |
Reported Valuation Currency: | USD |
| Pre-Tax NPV: | $295,000,000 |
Discount Rate: | 8% |
| After-Tax NPV: | $211,900,000 |
Total Base Case NSR USD: | $83.99/t |
| Pre-Tax IRR: | 48% |
Total Spot NSR USD: | $91.60/t |
| After-Tax IRR: | 41% |
Annual Pre-Tax Cash Flow Base Case and Net CF/FDSH USD: | $43,014,500 | $0.47 | Pre-Tax Payback: |
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Annual Pre-Tax Cash Flow Spot and Net CF/FDSH USD: | $50,797,172 | $0.56 | After-Tax Payback: | 1.9 y |
Enterprise Value CAD : | $18,575,821 | $.21/sh | Share Price: | $0.15 |
Note: |
Comparative Valuations using Life of Mine Averages |
Discount Rate: | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% |
Base Case Pre-Tax NPV USD: | $482,903,000 | $297,247,440 | $187,883,175 | $120,247,606 |
Base Case Pre-Tax Net NPV/Sh USD: | $5.48 | $3.37 | $2.13 | $1.37 |
Premium BC PT NPV over EV: | $5.32 | $3.21 | $1.97 | $1.20 |
Spot Pre-Tax NPV USD: | $591,860,410 | $370,616,847 | $240,003,641 | $158,988,229 |
Spot Pre-Tax Net NPV/Sh: | $6.72 | $4.21 | $2.72 | $1.81 |
Premium Spot PT NPV over EV USD: | $6.56 | $4.04 | $2.56 | $1.64 |
The comparative NPV calculations assume constant annual cash flow based on the life of mine average annual payable production and CapEx spent in year one. The operating cost includes the LOM sustaining capital. Due to details such as ore scheduling these NPV figures may differ from those of the 43-101 economic study. |
After-Tax Valuations using Spot By-Product Prices |
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Monterde 43-101 Economic Study (USD except where noted otherwise) |
PEA | Jul 16, 2010 |
| Micon Intl. | Monterde |
Mining Scenario | TR | Mining Costs |
Mining Type: | UG+OP |
| Cost Currency: | USD |
Processing Type: |
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| Capital Cost: | $111,400,000 |
Operating Rate: | 2,500 tpd |
| Sustaining Cost: | $19,200,000 |
Operating Days: | 360 |
| Operating Cost: | $47.11/t |
Strip Rate: |
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| BC Cash Cost per Unit: USD | $684/oz Au |
Mine Life: | 13 years |
| BC Cash Cost Net By-Products: USD | $266/oz Au |
LOM Tonnage: | 10,609,000 t |
| BC All-In Cost Net By-Prod: USD | $427/oz Au |
Est Startup: |
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| Spot All-In Cost Net By-Prod: USD | $353/oz Au |
Production Potential |
| Metal 1 | Metal 2 | Metal 3 | Metal 4 |
Metal: | Au | Ag |
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Grade: | 2.54 g/t | 105.50 g/t |
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Recovery: | 94.2% | 60.9% |
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Annual Output: | 62,000 oz | 1,850,000 oz |
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LOM Output: | 813,000 oz | 21,424,000 oz |
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Base Case Price: | $875/oz | $14.00/oz |
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Spot Price: | $1,315/oz | $16.47/oz |
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Base Case NSR: | $60.28/t | $28.78/t |
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Spot NSR: | $90.59/t | $33.86/t |
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Base Case Valuation |
Reported Valuation Currency: | USD |
| Pre-Tax NPV: | $295,000,000 |
Discount Rate: | 8% |
| After-Tax NPV: |
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Total Base Case NSR USD: | $89.06/t |
| Pre-Tax IRR: | 48% |
Total Spot NSR USD: | $124.45/t |
| After-Tax IRR: |
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Annual Pre-Tax Cash Flow Base Case and Net CF/FDSH USD: | $37,751,000 | $0.41 | Pre-Tax Payback: | 5.3 y |
Annual Pre-Tax Cash Flow Spot and Net CF/FDSH USD: | $69,603,600 | $0.77 | After-Tax Payback: |
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Enterprise Value CAD : | $18,575,821 | $.21/sh | Share Price: | $0.15 |
Note: |
Comparative Valuations using Life of Mine Averages |
Discount Rate: | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% |
Base Case Pre-Tax NPV USD: | $360,163,000 | $218,422,085 | $132,970,627 | $79,237,828 |
Base Case Pre-Tax Net NPV/Sh USD: | $4.09 | $2.48 | $1.51 | $0.90 |
Premium BC PT NPV over EV: | $3.93 | $2.32 | $1.35 | $0.74 |
Spot Pre-Tax NPV USD: | $774,246,800 | $503,383,726 | $338,661,866 | $233,879,347 |
Spot Pre-Tax Net NPV/Sh: | $8.79 | $5.72 | $3.85 | $2.66 |
Premium Spot PT NPV over EV USD: | $8.63 | $5.55 | $3.68 | $2.49 |
The comparative NPV calculations assume constant annual cash flow based on the life of mine average annual payable production and CapEx spent in year one. The operating cost includes the LOM sustaining capital. Due to details such as ore scheduling these NPV figures may differ from those of the 43-101 economic study. |
After-Tax Valuations using Spot By-Product Prices |
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